From Richard Charnin:

In previous posts, we have noted the dramatic 7% difference between Obama’s Election Day and late recorded share in both 2008 and 2012. In this post, we will focus on the corresponding third-party vote shares. In each election , the third-party late share was more than double the Election Day share – a virtual statistical impossibility.

Since the late vote is a close match to the True Vote (as it appears to be based on the 2008 state exit polls and 2008/2012 True Vote Model), and the weighted aggregate state Late Vote shares closely match the 2008 and 2012 recorded late shares, then approximately one million votes were switched from third-parties to McCain in 2008 and to Romney in 2012.

In 2008, 121.21 million votes were recorded on Election Day.
Obama led by 52.34-46.31% (1.35% to third-parties).
There were 10.16 million late votes.
Obama led by 59.16-37.48% (3.36% to third-parties).

In 2012, 117.46 million votes were recorded on Election Day.
Obama led by 50.34-48.07% (1.59% to third-parties).
There were 11.68 million late votes.
Obama led by 57.99-38.29% (3.72% to third-parties).

Read more.

Post comment

Forbidden Bookshelf

Forbidden Bookshelf

“While We Were Sleeping”

While We Were Sleeping is an urgent call to save Greenwich Village from New York University's uncontrolled expansion.

Click here to donate to NYUFASP and receive a copy of "While We Were Sleeping: NYU and the Destruction of New York" (minimum donation to receive a book is $10 plus $8 shipping).

Orwell Rolls In His Grave, featuring MCM – Buy the DVD

About News From Underground

News From Underground is a daily e-news service run by Mark Crispin Miller, a Professor of Culture and Communication at NYU. It is based on his belief that academics, like reporters, have a civic obligation to help keep the people well-informed, so that American democracy might finally work.

If you'd like to receive updates delivered to your inbox daily, sign up for News From Underground Alerts:

Help News From Underground!

Message from Mark: "I am a one-man operation, although assisted greatly by some volunteers, and, now and then, by people paid by others for one-time projects. There is no shortage of skilled, dedicated folks out there who want to help me. There is, however, nothing I can pay them with, unless you decide you can contribute something."

Please donate via the PayPal button above or via PayPal by email to:

Recent Posts

Recent Comments

Popular Posts


Need a bigger font size?

Sponsored Links

  • Your link could be here too, contact us for pricing details.