Why Obama is likely to “lose”

“Why Obama Is Likely to Lose in 2012”
by Greg Palast | For Nation of Change
Friday, September 14, 2012

An excerpt from Billionaires & Ballot Bandits: How to Steal an Election in 9 Easy Steps.

“Why Obama Is Likely to Lose in 2012” is the title of a column Karl Rove wrote in the Wall Street Journal in June 2011.

It’s not Rove’s prediction: this is his plan to make sure Obama will lose. That’s fine with me—if Rove prefers vanilla to chocolate, hey, it’s a free country. But how Rove plans to take Obama down is contained in the subhead, and it gives me the chills:

“even a small drop in the share of black voters would wipe out [Obama’s] winning margin in North Carolina.”

Read more.

3 replies on “Why Obama is likely to “lose””

It’s silly for anyone to say Obama will surely lose – especially the great Greg Palast. Obama has been gaining in the pre-election and approval polls. Romney and Ryan are constantly projecting themselves as the most incompetent ticket ever.

But we may not know the winner of the recorded vote will be until Election Eve. The final Likely Voter polls will have silently discounted the election fraud factor which will cut Obama’s True Vote vote share by 5%.

Obama will surely be winner of the True Vote. But he had better have 55%. In 2008, his 58% unadjusted state exit poll share (82,000 respondents) exactly matched the True Vote Model – and exceeded his recorded 53% by the 5% fraud factor.

But how many know this astounding factoid: Obama had SIXTY ONE PERCENT in the unadjusted 2008 National Exit Poll (17,836 respondents). Did the corporate media ever tell you that?

The ONLY question is: will Obama be able to overcome the systemic fraud or will the GOP be able to pull off another stolen election? They are very good at that, especially since they know the Democrats will do nothing to stop it.

John Kerry will tell you in private that Bush stole it and so will Al Gore. But they won’t say it in public. In fact they will promote the GOP party line that the exit polls are often wrong. And the Dems will echo the bogus canard that Democratic voters are more anxious to speak to the exit pollsters than the shy Republicans – even though exit pollster data shows just the opposite occurred in 2000, 2004, 2008.

But the Dems really do care. They care each time they send you an e-mail asking for a $3 contribution. After all, they need the cash to keep up with the GOP corporates. They are selling us Lotto tickets with the chance of having lunch with Obama. But what good is the $3 when 10% of Obama’s votes are flipped in cyberspace.

In any case, the 2010 Election Fraud Forecast model indicates that if the election were held today, it’s a near certainty that Obama would win – based on the latest state polls.

If Obama is leading the FINAL likely voter polls by 51-49% on Election Eve, it means the media knows that the Romney fix was not enough. It also means that Obama won the True Vote in a landslide by with 55-45%.

I can say this with full confidence, the 2004 Election Model having matched the 2004 unadjusated exit polls to within 0.2% and projecting 337 EV for Kerry.

The 2008 Election Model was within 0.2% of Obama’s recorded 52.9% share – and exactly matched his 365 EV. But the recorded vote was bogus; The 2008 post-election True Vote Model shows that Obama actually had 58% and 420 EV.

So I was right in 2004 (exit) and 2008 (recorded), but wrong in 2004 (recorded) and 2008 (exit).

I learned my lesson for 2012. Now I forecast the both a bogus recorded vote based on bogus LV polls and the True Vote (based on wishful thinking that we live in a democracy)

Is the following connection to election machines still the case? Is this a common connection–what predators need to continue to predate?



“The World-Herald Company is co-owner of Election Software and Systems, which counts half the election ballots in the United States.”


Still Evil after All These Years: The Franklin Scandal and Pedophilia in High Places

By Charles M. Young Posted by Dave Lindorff

I have known Nick Bryant since 1995. He was new to New York from Minnesota then, and looking to make a jump from science reporting in technical journals to writing for a mass audience. I noticed that he was persistent and ethically motivated and I thought, “He might be a good reporter.” We got to be friends, and had many long discussions about the nature of evil, which was his preferred subject matter as he tried to make a move into general circulation magazines. When he wasn’t chasing doctors at AIDS conferences, he was chasing outlaw bikers and Satanists.

On one such foray in 2002, he stumbled on a scandal that I had never heard of. The scandal centered around the Franklin Community Federal Credit Union, which was created to serve a poor black neighborhood in Omaha, Nebraska. During the 70s and 80s, its manager, a man named Larry King (not the talk show host), ran the Franklin as a Ponzi scheme and looted over $40 million, which he spent on an opulent lifestyle and Republican fundraising. King sang the National Anthem at the Republican convention in 1984 and served on several committees of the National Black Republican Council. He had a townhouse in Washington, DC, where he threw parties with many prominent guests. In August 1988, he threw a $100,000 party at the Republican convention, and appeared in a video in which he and Jack Kemp urged blacks to vote for George H. W. Bush. In November 1988, his Ponzi scheme crashed and the Franklin was shut down by the National Credit Union Association and the FBI.

All run-of-the-mill scandal stuff, and uncontroversial in the basic facts, except that as King was climbing into the upper levels of the national Republican hierarchy, Omaha was boiling over with rumors that he was also running a pedophile ring, pandering children out to rich and powerful men in Omaha, even flying the children to Washington, Los Angeles and New York for orgiastic, abusive parties with even richer and more powerful men.


The FBI has had a reputation for dirty tricks and blackmail for its entire history. The revelations about COINTELPRO, the campaign of harassment against the left during the 60s, were shocking to anyone with a concern for freedom of speech. If it became known that the FBI covered up a pedophile ring of the rich and powerful, I think most Americans would react as they reacted to the Penn State scandal, and the FBI would be drastically reorganized. Minimally, a number of agents in the Omaha office in the late 80s and 90s are guilty of the worst sort of malfeasance.

If it’s bad for quack psychotherapists “implant” false memories in their patients, how much worse is it when the FBI does the implanting with threats, beatings and perjury trials?

The Omaha World-Herald was the foremost local cheerleader for persecuting teenagers instead of investigating their claims. One of its own columnists, Peter Citron, had a long history of arrests for pedophilia and child porn and was implicated by two witnesses at Larry King’s sex parties. The long-time publisher of the World-Herald, Harold Anderson, was a big supporter of Larry King and had raised money for the Franklin. During the 18 years that King presided over the Franklin, the newspaper never noticed that King was living a hugely expensive lifestyle when he was supposedly making $17,000 a year in salary. The World-Herald Company is co-owner of Election Software and Systems, which counts half the election ballots in the United States.

Americans have plenty of obvious reasons to hate the rich and powerful. Wars for oil, rampant pollution, the destruction of individual rights, the constant lying about everything. It’s all on the front page, and it’s like old furniture in the living room. It’s hard for most people to notice. Boutique evil of the Gerry Sandusky sort affects fewer victims, but is more easily understood once the initial denial breaks down. If the denial of the Franklin Credit Union scandal ever breaks down, the consequences will reverberate far higher than happened at Penn State. Except for all those who died in suspicious accidents and suicides, the witnesses are still out there. Some might even talk about it. They talked to Nick Bryant.

Until the paperback version of The Franklin Scandal: A Story of Powerbrokers, Child Abuse and Betrayal comes out in October, you can read more at

CHARLES M. YOUNG is a founding member of ThisCantBeHappening!, the new independent Project Censored Award-winning online alternative newspaper. His work, and that of colleagues JOHN GRANT, DAVE LINDORFF, LORI SPENCER and LINN WASHINGTON, JR., can be found at


Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.