Will Hurricane Irene hit New York City?

Millions at Risk After Shift in Track for Hurricane Irene – NYTimes.com
August 25, 2011, 10:15 am
Millions at Risk After Shift in Track for Hurricane Irene
By ANDREW C. REVKIN
10:35 a.m. | Updated

Millions of residents of the East Coast for whom a hurricane strike is, at best, a dim memory now face a serious threat from Hurricane Irene. For days computer simulations of the long-term trajectory of the storm had been shifting a bit to the east day by day.

But the latest analysis by the National Hurricane Center has shifted the zone for the storm location five days from now to the west. You can see the shift in the video below, which is an animation of the sequence of forecasts by the center:

Trend is not destiny, of course, and the spaghetti charts of model runs remain mixed. But emergency planners in New York City are surely examining the maps of the city’s hurricane evacuation zones and, while hoping for the best, preparing for the worst (as should everyone in the region).

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