“It is very likely that the Democrats won at least seven of the nine recall elections”

Nine Wisconsin Recalls: A True Vote Analysis
A Statistical Analysis of the Wisconsin Recall Elections
Richard Charnin
Aug. 17, 2011

The numerical analysis is based on the Wisconsin Recall True Vote Model.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGUySGVQOW5BQWxZYWJ1TDJaVXJtNnc&hl=en_US#gid=11

The Democrats won 5 of the 9 recall elections and won the overall popular vote with a 50.5% share.
In 2008, Obama won all 9 districts with a 54.5% share.

The Republicans won 4 of the 6 GOP districts with 55.2%. Obama had 51.5% in the 4 districts.

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