“It is very likely that the Democrats won at least seven of the nine recall elections”
Nine Wisconsin Recalls: A True Vote Analysis
A Statistical Analysis of the Wisconsin Recall Elections
Aug. 17, 2011
The numerical analysis is based on the Wisconsin Recall True Vote Model.
The Democrats won 5 of the 9 recall elections and won the overall popular vote with a 50.5% share.
In 2008, Obama won all 9 districts with a 54.5% share.
The Republicans won 4 of the 6 GOP districts with 55.2%. Obama had 51.5% in the 4 districts.