Here Steve Benen, of the Washington Monthly, raises the right questions about Prosser’s sudden “win,” courtesy of Kathy Nickolaus. He finds it noteworthy that Nickolaus “is a
Republican donor who’s been involved in a series of controversial elections, including a ballot mix-up in 2004, sample ballots in 2005 that accidentally told voters who to vote for, a 2007 incident involving touch-screen voting, and perhaps most importantly, a 2002 controversy in which Nickolaus was granted immunity as part of a criminal investigation into Republican misdeeds in the State Assembly. “This is the same Nickolaus who yesterday uncovered a net gain of 7,000 votes for the Republican candidate who was trailing in a closely-watched judicial race.
That’s reasonable, isn’t it? And yet Benen feels compelled to add the following:
“Now, before anyone jumps to conclusions, Nate Silver noted that it’s likely nothing nefarious has transpired. The results from Waukesha County were, in fact, unexpectedly low before yesterday, and it appeared that votes had gone uncounted. What’s more, it’s a community in which the GOP dominates, so it stands to reason that when the heretofore missing votes were included, Prosser would be the beneficiary.”
Benen ends by reconfirming that the whole thing is indeed suspicious. As it is–and so’s Nate Silver’s reassuring take on this suspicious contest, because Nate Silver’s always telling us why we should not suspect election fraud; and since he’s now the star election- numbers-cruncher at the New York Times, his blithe view carries quite a lot of weight.
From that exalted perch, he has done much to bolster the exceptionalist fantasy that elections in America are never stolen.
Indeed, according to the seasoned mathematician Richard Charnin, Silver’s methodology is flawed, and, therefore, his numbers often skewed, by his blindness to election fraud, which he has never factored into his analysis. (For example, see http://www.buzzflash.net/story.php?id=1111050.)
And what does Silver say to Charnin’s arguments? He says…. nothing. Although Charnin has tried often to get Silver to respond (and I have tweeted Silver several times to get him
to respond), the Times‘s polling guru has stayed absolutely mum, notwithstanding Charnin’s expertise and vast experience–and, of course, the huge importance of this issue.
He won’t talk about election fraud, except to give us reasons why it hasn’t happened; nor will the New York Times report the evidence that such fraud has occurred. By keeping people in the dark about what’s really going on, such silence makes it that much easier for those who steal elections to keep doing it.
We therefore have a right to know, and Silver is obliged to say, exactly what he thinks about all this, especially now that the Republicans are (clearly) doing everything they can to thwart and further shrink (what’s left of) our democracy.
Political Animal by Steve Benen
April 8, 2011
AS IF WISCONSIN DEMS WEREN’T ANGRY ENOUGH…. As recently as a month ago, the state Supreme Court election in Wisconsin wasn’t expected to be close. But progressive activists, motivated by excessive GOP overreach and attacks on unions, mobilized and mounted a spirited campaign in support of JoAnne Kloppenburg.
Wednesday, it looked as if she’d pulled off a miracle, narrowly defeating conservative Justice David Prosser. Yesterday, the discovery of thousands of votes quickly tilted the race in the other direction.
“While We Were Sleeping”
Orwell Rolls In His Grave, featuring MCM – Buy the DVD
About News From Underground
News From Underground is a daily e-news service run by Mark Crispin Miller, a Professor of Culture and Communication at NYU. It is based on his belief that academics, like reporters, have a civic obligation to help keep the people well-informed, so that American democracy might finally work.
If you'd like to receive updates delivered to your inbox daily, sign up for News From Underground Alerts:
Help News From Underground!
Message from Mark: "I am a one-man operation, although assisted greatly by some volunteers, and, now and then, by people paid by others for one-time projects. There is no shortage of skilled, dedicated folks out there who want to help me. There is, however, nothing I can pay them with, unless you decide you can contribute something."
Please donate via the PayPal button above or via PayPal by email to: email@example.com
- Why Earth demands this march in New York City: A reply to Arun Gupta
- Not to rain on anyone’s parade, but: How the “People’s Climate March” became a corporate PR
- Join Us! Save Our Parks/Save the Village, Rally and Press Conference Featuring a Performance by the World Famous STOMP
- “Putin’s a Jew”: Guardian reports (yet downplays) Nazi thrust of Kiev’s eastern drive
- Dept. of the Glaringly Obvious: GOP doesn’t want majority to vote because majority would not elect Republicans
- susan on Manhattan’s latest giant eyesore will have three floors just for “maid’s rooms”
- blaze doric on Calling Russia “the aggressor,” US is the one that wants a war
- Jonelle on Did Romney cheat as well as lie?
- Die Woche im Rückspiegel betrachtet | Lars Schall on Forbidden Bookshelf
- http://iclworld.ru on Eight BIG PROBLEMS with the “case” against Assange (MUST-READ by Naomi Wolf)
- Forbidden Bookshelf
- Don't buy these products from Koch Industries!
- More questions about those "beheadings"
- MetroPCS is blocking Netflix, Skype and other sites--unless you pay extra
- Big Pharma's faking a "grass-roots" campaign to keep Jenny McCarthy off "The View"
- William Betz
- alias Bruce
- Online Journal
- Barry Gordon
- Talking Points Memo
- Writers Voice
- Evil GOP Bastards
- Democratic Undergroud
- Early America
- Media Channel
- The Rude Pudit
- Words of Power
- t r u t h o u t
- Richard Charnin
- Thom Hartmann
- Fairness & Accuracy in Reporting
- Mainstream Baptist
Need a bigger font size?
- Your link could be here too, contact us for pricing details.