EIA Projects Climate Catastrophe

The U.S. Energy Information Administration has projected that the United
States will lead the world into catastrophic global warming over the next
twenty five years. In its 2011 Annual Energy Outlook, the EIA predicts that
energy-related CO2 emissions will “grow by 16 percent from 2009 to 2035,”
reaching 6.3 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (or 1.7 GtC):

The fuel mix the EIA projects remains predominantly coal and oil, with a
moderate rise in renewable energy, whose pollution benefits are offset by
growth in energy demand:

This pathway would almost certainly commit the world to catastrophic climate
change, including rapid sea level rise, extreme famine, desertification, and
ecological collapse on land and sea. Right now, the United States, with less
than five percent of global population, produces 20 percent of global
warming pollution. Center for American Progress senior fellow Joe Romm
published in Nature in 2008 that humanity “must aim at achieving average
annual carbon dioxide emissions of less than 5 GtC [5 billion metric tons of
carbon, or 18 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide] this century or risk
the catastrophe of reaching atmospheric concentrations of 1,000 p.p.m.” To
do so, he said, humanity needs to adopt a “national and global strategy to
stop building new traditional coal-fired plants while starting to deploy
existing and near-term low-carbon technologies as fast as is humanly
possible.”

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