Subject: [e-USE] Cook Political Report makes final predictions
Cook Political Report makes final predictions – dismisses notion that there has been a significant tightening of national polls
by Joe in DC – 11/06/2006 07:31:00 PM
>I’ll take this for _election-eve._ (http://cookpolitical.com/) The
>non-partisan Cook team thinks the Dems. can pick up 20-35 seats in the House, 4-6 in
>the Senate and from 6-8 governors.
>Cook also examines the latest spin that the polls are supposedly tightening,
>and that the GOP is supposedly experiencing a last-minute surge. Just ain’t
>true, Cook says.
>All Monday there was considerable talk that the national picture had
>suddenly changed and that there was a significant tightening in the election. This
>was based in part on two national polls that showed the generic congressional
>ballot test having tightened to four (Pew) and six (ABC/Wash Post) points.
>Seven national polls have been conducted since Wednesday, November 1. They
>give Democrats an average lead of 11.6 percentage points, larger than any
>party has had going into an Election Day in memory. Even if you knock five points
>off of it, it’s 6.6 percentage points, bigger than the advantage that
>Republicans had going into 1994.
>Furthermore, there is no evidence of a trend in the generic ballot test. In
>chronological order of interviewing (using the midpoint of field dates), the
>margins were: 15 points (Time 11/1-3), 6 points (ABC/Wash Post), 4 points
>(Pew), 7 points (Gallup), 16 points (Newsweek), 20 points (CNN) and 13 points
>In individual races, some Republican pollsters see some movement, voters
>”coming home,” in their direction, and/or some increase in intensity among GOP
>voters. All seem to think that it was too little, too late to significantly
>change the outcome. However, it might be enough to save a few candidates. None
>think it is a major change in the dynamics of races, and most remain
>somewhere between fairly and extremely pessimistic about tomorrow’s outcome.
“While We Were Sleeping”
Orwell Rolls In His Grave, featuring MCM – Buy the DVD
About News From Underground
News From Underground is a daily e-news service run by Mark Crispin Miller, a Professor of Culture and Communication at NYU. It is based on his belief that academics, like reporters, have a civic obligation to help keep the people well-informed, so that American democracy might finally work.
If you'd like to receive updates delivered to your inbox daily, sign up for News From Underground Alerts:
Help News From Underground!
Message from Mark: "I am a one-man operation, although assisted greatly by some volunteers, and, now and then, by people paid by others for one-time projects. There is no shortage of skilled, dedicated folks out there who want to help me. There is, however, nothing I can pay them with, unless you decide you can contribute something."
Please donate via the PayPal button above or via PayPal by email to: firstname.lastname@example.org
- How Australia plans to keep its vaccinated children safe from illnesses that they can’t catch
- On the mass delusion now afflicting liberals (and putting all of us at risk)
- There’s actually more evidence in Pizzagate than there is in “Russia-gate.”
- NYU is built for WAR! (Who knew?)
- HuffPost ran this strong defense of Bobby Kennedy, Jr.—then took it down just minutes later.
- Contact Lou Dobbs on
- Forbidden Bookshelf on
- Top US spooks see NO “conclusive evidence” of Russian hacking in Election 2016 on
- How blaming Trump’s “election” on the Russians could force Hillary on us after all—and end US democracy for good… on
- Election theft in Michigan and Florida may have been more dramatic than we think… on
- The strange death of Nancy Schaefer (two items)
- There's actually more evidence in Pizzagate than there is in "Russia-gate."
- Don't buy these products from Koch Industries!
- Forbidden Bookshelf
- Where the money goes at NYU
- Suburban Guerrilla
- Richard Charnin
- The International Human Press
- William Betz
- Democratic Undergroud
- alias Bruce
- Online Journal
- Evil GOP Bastards
- Media Channel
- Thom Hartmann
- Fairness & Accuracy in Reporting
- Talking Points Memo
- Cody Lyon
- Early America
- Veterans for Common Sense
- Citizens for Legitimate Government
- Media Matters
- Writers Voice
Need a bigger font size?
- Your link could be here too, contact us for pricing details.